中文式英语

中文式英语

1It’sbeenapretty(普瑞踢)miserable(买涩

饿波)couple(刻薄)ofweeksfortheU.S.economy(一科乐眯).

2Lastweek,theCommerce(科摸丝)Department(弟破闷特)announced(饿浪死特)thatGDPgrowth(哥嘶)inthefirstquarter(扩特儿)of2015(团提塞问题)felldramatically(这迈特力)to0.2%(破音特吐破森特)onanannualized(昂牛来斯特)basis(背赛斯).Butafternewdatareleased(瑞里斯特)Tuesdayshowedthatthetrade(吹的)deficit(的佛C特)inMarchwasfarhigherthaneconomists(咦刻饿乐闷特)hadexpected(意思拍了Kkt),it’slikelythatGDPinthefirstquarter(扩特)actually(艾克说泥)shrank(瞬刻).

3Fornow,mosteconomists(一刻饿乐闷特)expect(一刻拜特)thattheeconomy(一抗乐眯)willbounce(拜昂嘶)backinthesecond(赛肯)quarter(扩特)of2015(团提塞问题),justlikeitdidlastyear,andthatoverallreal(瑞哦)growth(割肉嘶)willbeatlastyear’sperformance(破佛闷嘶)of2.4%(破音特吐破森特).

4Butanewanalysis(按麦了塞)fromJodiGunzberg(脚底京茨堡),global(阁楼博)headofcommodities(抗摸底提死)atS&PDow

Jones(散diang琼斯)Indices(音地色特),argues(饿GIU死)against(饿干死特)thisconsensus(抗赛上死),andinstead(因死黛特)makesthecasethatwe’reheadedforanother(饿妈得)recession(瑞涩神).Gunzberg(干死特瑞)points(破哎嘶)totheoutstanding(OUT但丁)performanceofcommodities(抗忙地死)inAprilasmeasured(买舍瑞特)bytheS&PGSCIindex,whichgained(根特)11.1%(一来文破森特one)thatmonth,the19th(奶挺)bestmonth(忙死)sincetheindexfirststartingtracking(拽听)thesecommodities(抗摸堆儿推死)backin1970(奶题塞问题).

5Twogroups(隔肉拍死)ofcommodities(抗摸底提死)–energy(按了J)andindustrial(因打死吹特)metals(麦兜四)–didparticularly(波忒科林斯)well,risingbyacombined(抗母拜特)12.67%(跳无破森特sixseven)inApril(诶破特).It’snotcommon(扣门)forthesetwogroupsofcommodities(抗摸底提死)tosurge(撒只)invalue(歪了U)atthesametime.According(哎口定)toGunzberg(根死特瑞),thetwoindiceshaveonlymovedintandem(疼打木)about30%(否体破森特)ofthetimesince1983(奶挺A提碎).Andtherehaveonlybeen12months(慢死)inwhichtheenergy(慢了J)andindustrial(音黛丝吹哦)metals(埋头)sectors(赛特死)haverisenmorethantheydidinApril(诶破若):

6Asyoucansee,themonthsinwhichthesesectors(赛特斯)did

wellareclustered(可露丝ruang特)aroundtimesleadinguptoarecession(瑞色神).

7Gunzberg

argues(根死特瑞)thatthisisbecausefirms

thatrelyonthesematerials(迈特瑞饿死)likeoil(哦有)andnatural(奶愁)gasintheenergy(嗯了J)sector(赛特),andcopper(口波)andaluminum(饿撸母嫩特)inthemetals(麦兜四)sectorstartbuying(拜听)upthesematerials(迈特瑞哦死)inbulk(邦特)whentheysensetheirperformance(破佛慢死)isabouttostartwaning.“Whenyoulookatbroadeconomic(艾迪诺麦克)cycles(赛口似),”saysGunzberg(根死特瑞)“equities(I哭挺嘶)leadthecycle(赛狗),whilecommodities(抗忙底提死)areonthecycle(赛狗).”

8Inotherwords,asthemarket(摸凯特)nears(呢嘶)atop,andcompanies(刻薄宁死)areflushwithcash(卡吃)andcapital(开背投),butshortonfaith(菲斯)intheirfuture(服U测)performance(破否曼斯),theystarttohoardthebasic(贝斯塞克)commodities(抗忙底K死)thatpower(牌饿儿)theglobal(阁楼博)economy(一克哦了眯).Buteventually(疑问错里)theirperformance(破佛曼死)takesaturnfortheworse(饿乐死),and

sodoesdemand(得慢得)forrawmaterials(迈特瑞饿死).

9Ofcourse,Gunzberg’s(根死特瑞)data(得打)goesbackbyjust30(否梯)years,anditpredicts(破瑞戴斯)onlythreerecessions(瑞这深思).It’spossible(破色得波)thatthesedata(得打)onlypoint(迫停死)tostrange(死准死)coincidences(可问得赛斯)rather(RUAI特)thansomethingwithrea(瑞哦)lpredictive(破队黛特)power(排若).

10ButwiththeU.S.inits70th(赛文抵死)month(忙死)ofeconomic(挨踢NO麦克)expansion(意思半身)–thesixthlongest(饿狼耶死特)theU.S.economy(一壳昂了米特)hashadsince1850(A听废物提)–theslowdown(死楼的母)inthefirstquarter(阔的)mayverywellbemorethanjustablip(波乐特).



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